Early Risk Off — downside participation overwhelmed pockets of resilience

Small caps saw an early risk-off tape with heavy downside participation, limited sectoral shelter, and low-volatility selling that looked more like risk appetite fading than a stress event.

Participation was decisively broad on the downside, with decliners at 86.4% of the universe, making the move feel systemic rather than stock-specific. The tape did not rely on a few large drags; most names contributed to the weakness.

What was different today was the combination of low-volatility price action alongside visibly damaged medium-term positioning, with only 30.7% of stocks above their 50DMA. The day read less like a sudden shock and more like a continuation of internal repair failing to hold.

NIFTY SmallCap 250 Market State
Thursday, January 08, 2026

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